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Focus your donations and volunteer time where they matter most. The closest races are where one extra dollar or one more door knock can flip a seat.

Live odds from Kalshi prediction markets · Closest races first

How You Can Help

Donate

Every dollar counts in close races. Give directly to candidates below.

Canvass

Knock doors in key districts. Find events on Mobilize

Phone & Text Bank

Call or text voters from home. Sign up on Mobilize

Write Letters

Send postcards to swing-district voters via Vote Forward

Spread the Word

Share close races on social media. Awareness drives action.

Drive Voters

Rideshare to polling places on Election Day. Sign up here

Race odds are pulled live from Kalshi prediction markets and sorted by the closest races first — so you can focus your donations and volunteer time where they'll make the biggest difference.

Race Card Key

Toss-UpSpread ≤10%How competitive the race is based on the difference between Dem and Rep prediction market odds. Toss-Up means the spread is 10% or less. Lean10–25%One party has a moderate lead of 10–25 percentage points in prediction market odds. Likely25–50%One party has a strong lead of 25–50 percentage points. An upset is possible but unlikely. Safe>50%One party leads by more than 50 percentage points in prediction market odds. The seat is considered non-competitive.
D-Held x3R-Held x2Party & termsWhich party currently holds this seat and how many consecutive terms (elections) the same party has held it. For Senate, 1 term = 6 years. For House, 1 term = 2 years. Last: D+3Prior raceThe margin of victory in percentage points from the last election for this specific seat. For example, "D+3" means the Democrat won by 3 points. Links to source data on Wikipedia. Pres: R+5'24 presidentialHow this state or district voted in the 2024 presidential election. Shows the margin between Trump and Harris. Useful for gauging the partisan lean of the area. Links to source data on Wikipedia. Polls: D+4Poll avgAverage poll spread across recent surveys for this race, sourced from VoteHub. Only shown when polling data is available. Positive = Democrat leading, negative = Republican leading. $2.1M raisedFEC fundraisingTotal amount raised and cash on hand for each candidate this cycle, sourced from FEC (Federal Election Commission) quarterly filings. Updated after each quarterly deadline (Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct). For primary races, shows the financial frontrunner among declared candidates. Flip Watch = Dems +5Potential flipsNet flip potential across all races on this tab. A "flip" is a race where Kalshi's current leader is a different party than the current seatholder (or, for open seats, the last winner's party). Value = Dem potential flips minus Rep potential flips.

Senate Races

D 47 / R 53 · Majority: 51 · Dems need +4 ·
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House Races

D 215 / R 220 · Majority: 218 · Dems need +3 ·
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